Few COVID-19 protections have divided school districts as sharply as mask mandates. They鈥檝e triggered screaming matches, violence, and death threats. But now, as K-12 schools trudge into a third pandemic-weary year, and case rates are falling, more districts are dropping mask requirements.
In just the past few weeks, more than 80 school districts in 19 states have ended or eased mask requirements for students or staff members.
These moves by no means comprise a tidal wave; they鈥檙e closer to a rivulet. Only nine of the 100 big don鈥檛 require masks. State policy plays a role: In 17 states, districts are required to have K-12 mask mandates.
But in the past six weeks, two of those states鈥擬assachusetts and Louisiana鈥攈ave begun letting schools or districts make masks a choice under certain circumstances. Massachusetts, for example, lets middle and high schools ask for permission to make masks optional if 80 percent of staff and students are vaccinated.
In the other 34 states, districts can go mask-optional, because the state allows local choice, or because bans on mask mandates are prohibited or in legal limbo. In those places, dozens of districtwide mandates are disappearing or turning into school-by-school decisions.
Experts are divided on the wisdom of these moves. Some, including those at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, caution against relaxing protections too soon.
鈥淚t鈥檚 premature to lift all your mask mandates,鈥 said Dr. Tina Tan, a pediatric infectious disease expert at Lurie Children鈥檚 Hospital in Chicago.
Others argue that it鈥檚 time, at the very least, to begin discussing plans to lift mask requirements.
Joseph Allen, an associate professor of exposure assessment science, and director of the Healthy Buildings program at Harvard University鈥檚 T.H. Chan School of Public Health, argues that lower case rates, and the impending availability of vaccines for all school-age groups suggests it鈥檚 time for a more nuanced approach to mask policy.
鈥淲e need to have these conversations,鈥 he said. 鈥淲e can鈥檛 keep mask mandates in place indefinitely as a solution to this pandemic.鈥
One-size-fits-all policies give way to carefully tailored policies, or none at all
Districts that are changing their mask policies are moving away from all-or-nothing approaches. They鈥檙e embracing flexibility, thresholds, and hyper-localization.
Those that drop mask requirements often state explicitly that they will reinstate them鈥攁nd have done so鈥攊f case rates warrant. Some are setting clear thresholds, at the school or district level, at which masks will be required or optional. And many are basing their mask decisions on each school鈥檚 cases of infection or quarantine rates, rather than on county or district-level data.
The Barrow County schools in Winder, Ga., started the year Aug. 3 without a mask requirement, but within a few weeks, the Delta variant fueled so many cases that the district felt it had to take action. It began requiring masks in any school where 1 percent of students were in isolation with the virus.
So many schools quickly exceeded that threshold that the district stepped in again, this time with a temporary mask mandate effective Sept. 1, said Ken Greene, an assistant superintendent. Case rates began falling a few weeks later, but the district decided not to reassess until after an early-October break, when families might travel and risk contracting the virus. When a post-break check showed case rates were still low, Greene said, Barrow rescinded its mask mandate, effective Oct. 18.
The district made two additional changes. It maintained the mask mandate for staff, since it鈥檚 found that most staff members contract the virus from other adults. And it raised its school-level threshold: Now schools where 2.1 percent of students are isolating with COVID must require masks.
Barrow wanted to maintain its 1 percent threshold, Greene said, in part because only 18 percent of children 10 to 14, and 40 percent of those 15 to 19, have been vaccinated. But parent opposition to mask rules is intense.
鈥淚t felt like there might be a mutiny鈥 if the district didn鈥檛 at least raise the school threshold, he said.
Clearly stating mask criteria can be helpful
Whatever metrics a district decides to use for its mask policies, having a framework that lays them out clearly is important, said Curt Dietrich, the superintendent in the North Penn schools, outside Philadelphia. Last summer, the district set separate masking thresholds for its elementary and secondary schools, . The state later required all districts to enforce mask-wearing. But if those decisions revert to the local level, Dietrich says, North Penn is ready.
鈥淧eople want to know, what is the plan?鈥 he said. 鈥淭hey can see it, and feel assured we鈥檙e basing it on science and conversations with local health leaders. It gives them hope that somewhere on the horizon, if the numbers go down, and the state doesn鈥檛 require masks, there won鈥檛 be a need for masking.鈥
Dr. David Rubin, the director of the PolicyLab at the Children鈥檚 Hospital of Philadelphia, which has advised the White House COVID Task Force and school districts, said now that COVID-19 vaccines are available for all school-age groups, decisions about masking should revert to local districts. With the approval Nov. 2 of a vaccine for the youngest group, ages 5 to 11, mask-optional decisions 鈥渃ould move along fairly quickly鈥 in January and February, he said.
鈥淲e can鈥檛 continue to wait for everyone to be vaccinated,鈥 Rubin said. 鈥淭here has to be an exit strategy.鈥
The CDC sees continued masking as a key part of that exit strategy. In a statement to Education Week, the agency reiterated , which recommends universal indoor masking for all teachers, staff, students, and visitors to K-12 schools. The CDC will 鈥渞evisit鈥 its school masking guidance as child-vaccination rates, transmission metrics, and other data evolve, agency spokeswoman Jasmine Reed said. But she noted that multi-layered protection is still warranted, since COVID transmission in nearly 75 percent of U.S. counties.
A big question mark: child vaccine uptake
Large swaths of the school-age population appear likely to remain unvaccinated. COVID-19 vaccines have been widely available for children 12 and older, but are fully inoculated. A vaccine is now available for children 5 to 11, but polls show a large鈥攁nd growing鈥攕egment of parents of children in that age group don鈥檛 plan to get their children inoculated.
In an , 30 parent of parents of children 5 to 11 said they would 鈥渄efinitely not鈥 vaccinate their children, up from 24 percent in September. That margin grew even more among the parents of children 12 to 17: The percentage who said they would 鈥渄efinitely not鈥 inoculate their children against COVID-19 rose from 21 percent in September to 31 percent in October.
The Clintondale schools in Clinton Township, Mich., recently found it couldn鈥檛 manage safely without a mask requirement. On Oct. 18, the same day the Barrow County schools in Georgia dropped its mask mandate, Clintondale added one. It had begun school Sept. 7 with masks optional.
鈥淲e really felt we were on the back end of COVID before school started,鈥 said Superintendent Rodriguez Broadnax.
But by the third week of school, the Delta variant led the district to quarantine all 114 students in the 8th grade after a teacher contracted the virus. Breakthrough cases started cropping up among vaccinated teachers. By mid-October, the board unanimously enacted a temporary mask mandate, fearing things could get worse during Halloween, and Thanksgiving and winter breaks. The district will reassess in mid-January, before the mandate expires, Broadnax said.
Nationwide, schools have been repeatedly ambushed by changes in the pandemic. This summer, with case counts plummeting, many schools abandoned virtual learning, only to have to scramble weeks later to provide it again when cases surged.
Shifts like that are just one reason Tan, of Lurie Children鈥檚 Hospital, advises schools to stay vigilant. With large numbers of adults and children unvaccinated, and the cold winter months coming, new surges are possible, she said. Transmission risk may be declining, but it鈥檚 still considered high in most areas, she said.
鈥淧eople let down their guards, and then we get surprised,鈥 said Tan.